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Annals of Surgical Oncology 9:855-862 (2002)
© 2002 Society of Surgical Oncology


ORIGINAL ARTICLES

Predictive Factors Associated With Long-Term Survival in Patients With Neuroendocrine Tumors of the Pancreas

Quyen D. Chu, MD, Hank C. Hill, MD, Harold O. Douglass, Jr, MD, Deborah Driscoll, BA, Judy L. Smith, MD, Hector R. Nava, MD and John F. Gibbs, MD

From the Department of Surgical Oncology, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, New York.

Correspondence: Address correspondence and reprint requests to: John F. Gibbs, MD, Department of Surgical Oncology, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Elm and Carlton Streets, Buffalo, NY 14263; Fax: 716-845-2320; E-mail: john.gibbs{at}roswellpark.org

Background: Neuroendocrine tumors of the pancreas are rare tumors. We identified predictive factors that are associated with long-term survival (>=5 years).

Methods: Fifty patients with a diagnosis of neuroendocrine tumors of the pancreas were retrospectively evaluated. The following factors were evaluated for disease-specific mortality: age, sex, primary tumor location, functional status, type of primary tumor treatment, presence or absence of liver metastases, timing of liver metastases occurrence, and type of liver metastases treatment. Aggressive treatment of the liver metastases included surgery, chemoembolization, or intrahepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy.

Results: Twenty-three patients (47%) had tumor located in the head of the pancreas, and 29 patients (58%) had nonfunctioning tumor. Thirty-nine patients (78%) had liver metastases. The median follow-up for the entire group was 35 months (range, .76–206 months). The median survival for the entire group was 40 months, and the overall 1-, 2-, and 5-year survival rates were 84%, 69%, and 36%, respectively. Factors that had a significant favorable effect on survival included curative resection of the primary tumor, metachronous liver metastases, absence of liver metastases, and aggressive treatment of the liver metastases.

Conclusions: Definitive surgical resection of the primary tumor, absence of liver metastases, metachronous liver metastases, and aggressive treatment of the liver metastases were predictors of long-term survival in patients with neuroendocrine tumors of the pancreas.

Key Words: Neuroendocrine tumors • Pancreas • Liver metastases • Predictive factors




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